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Patients in hospitals are most likely to die over the weekend

 
, medical expert
Last reviewed: 01.07.2025
 
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31 May 2013, 15:23

Eight years ago, British researchers began studying the dynamics of hospital fatalities on weekends. Scientists from the authoritative college - Imperial College London - found that over the course of two years, from 2005 to 2006, about 3,500 patients died in English hospitals who were clinically curable, that is, with proper professional care they could have been saved.

Scientists do not violate the unspoken rules of the medical fraternity by accusing doctors of negligence, on the contrary, the reason, according to researchers, is that on Saturdays and Sundays, patients remain under the supervision of mid-level personnel, who are simply unable to provide urgent assistance in critical situations, for example, to perform an operation. According to the approved state regulations, the majority of surgeons, cardiologists and other highly qualified specialists go on vacation, which is quite normal, but the existing system of on-call duty does not allow for the required number of doctors. Thus, nurses and employees belonging to the junior personnel category should monitor all patients, including “serious” ones.

The research is led by Paul Eileen and his team includes college lecturers, students, clinicians and analysts from many UK healthcare institutions.

The statistical data published by scientists in the well-known specialized publication, the British Medical Journal, state:

  1. Studied:
    • 2005-2006 - more than 4,000,000 clinical cases that did not require surgery.
    • 2008-2011 - more than 4,100,000 surgical interventions.
  2. The studies were conducted in 163 clinics, hospitals and state-run inpatient facilities.
  3. Inpatient mortality:
    • 2005-2006 – about 3500 cases annually. Of these, 2150 cases were confirmed by pathologists’ conclusions, indicating premature death.
    • 2008-2011 – 27,500 deaths within a month after surgery, more than 4.5% of the total number occurring on the weekend.
  4. Mortality during elective surgery increases by 44% if the operation is performed on Friday or a weekend (compared to Monday).
  5. Mortality after emergency surgeries performed on Friday or over the weekend is 82% higher than after surgeries performed on Monday.

Scientists have been studying diseases requiring surgical intervention for the past three years. Statistical information clearly demonstrates a shocking difference in the number of deaths compared to 2005 and the study of mortality from common diseases. The material for the study during 2008-2011 was five types of the most serious and difficult operations:

  • Coronary artery bypass grafting.
  • Surgical resection of the esophagus.
  • Abdominal aortic aneurysm.
  • Removal of a segment of the rectum.
  • Removal of part or all of a lung.

Analysts provided impressive statistics:

  • 3.5% (the highest percentage of fatalities) are esophageal surgeries. Out of 1,000 surgeries, there are 35 deaths on Fridays and weekends.
  • 3.4% - operations performed urgently for abdominal aortic aneurysm. There were 34 cases of postoperative deaths per 1000 operations.
  • 2.4% - operations to remove a segment of the rectum.
  • 2% of weekend deaths are due to lung surgery.

Overall, the annual unnecessary loss of over 3,000 Britons is 5% more than the number of people killed on the roads and highways as a result of car accidents

Experienced surgeons know that severe, life-threatening complications most often occur in the first two days after surgery (48 hours), and it is during this period that the patient needs special supervision from the operating physician. It is logical to assume that a surgical intervention carried out in a British clinic on Friday may end in the death of a patient who is under the care of only mid-level and junior medical personnel over the weekend.

In addition to the country's urgent need to revise its system of schedules and shifts on holidays and weekends, there is another problem - a shortage of highly qualified personnel. British scientists have been joined by Spanish researchers who have drawn attention to the depressing dynamics of weekend deaths in COPD (chronic obstructive pulmonary disease), as well as Canadian doctors who are already preparing a report on the high percentage of fatalities of stroke patients during the weekend.

Summarising the alarming statistics, BMA (British Medical Association) select committee chairman Paul Flynn called for a closer look at the data, taking into account all socio-economic factors, and a focus on developing a programme of accessible, urgent, professional, quality and 24-hour care.

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